#1153059 - Tue Dec 06 2016 06:39 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Forum Champion
Registered: Wed Feb 03 2010
Posts: 6516
Loc: Florida USA
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Indeed, I hit the upper 8 key in the dark rather than the upper 6 key that I see in the light. 4^15 = 1073741824 But each question stands alone. It doesn't matter to Q 13 what the arrangement was in Q 3. The result is determined by ADDING the possibilities for each individual Question (4^3 = 64 possible arrangements for each question). So, it's 64(1) + 64(2)... + 64(n) = 64 x 15(n) = 1024 possible combinations. And that is wrong. Somewhere I was misled on the 64 possible arrangements for each question. Yes for a, b, c & d there are NOT 64 arrangements: abcd abdc acbd acdb adbc adcb 6 total=6 bacd badc bcad bcda bdac bdca 6 total=12 cabd cadb cbad cbda cdab cdba 6 total=18 dabc dacb dbac dbca dcab dcba 6 total=24 24 not 64 nor 1,000,000+ possibles But there is only ONE answer per Q not 4 or 1/4(1) + 1/4(2)... + 1/4(n) = 1/4 x 15 = 3.75 ?what? Possible correct out of 15! The solution should be the number of Questions raised to the possibility level (4 in this case). giving the permutations of 15 questions with only 4 possible answers is 15^4 = 50625 arrangements (NOT 4^15th!) This Statistics is tough. That's probably why it's left up to liars who figure. 50,625 answer set possibilities in a 15 question, 4 multiple choice answers picking one of the 4 possibilities.
Edited by mehaul (Tue Dec 06 2016 07:32 PM)
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#1153089 - Wed Dec 07 2016 04:47 AM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Mainstay
Registered: Sun Oct 05 2008
Posts: 507
Loc: Sheffield Yorkshire UK
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We had Les Miserables very recently in Heroes. My records go back to June and I didn't find Les Mis (although I can recollect playing it at some point and must have because a 5th place appears in our team record book), but as I said on a previous post 'Rent' appeared on November 9th, a mere month ago.
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#1153273 - Fri Dec 09 2016 02:06 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Administrator
Registered: Sat May 17 2008
Posts: 5470
Loc: Northampton England UK
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individual musicals are far less well known than the individual television shows. Depends where you live. You do know that a lot of the world doesn't watch much American television? Whereas those musicals, especially Les Mis, are shown in theatres worldwide? And form the bread and butter of many local amateur dramatics groups.
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#1153275 - Fri Dec 09 2016 02:27 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Mainstay
Registered: Sun Oct 05 2008
Posts: 507
Loc: Sheffield Yorkshire UK
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Well, as I get older, my definition of "recently" seems to get longer and longer. I know from our record book that our team record in Les Miserables was set by someone who has been on our team for a little over a year, so it's been within that time period. I don't see any other musicals in the record book besides Rent and Les Mis, but that's two, anyway. I don't actually object to the individual musicals being in there, but I do object to the inconsistency... individual musicals are far less well known than the individual television shows. That said, I have come across a question in FT that ran something like this: "How many balloons were there at the party in episode 17 of season 3 in Charmed?" But I presume those types of drivel questions wouldn't come up in a generalized quiz set. I'm with you there, why have we got things like individual musicals and manga and Eurovision Song Contest when we don't see individual tv programs or any sports whatever or video games (that's for you Kyle ;)). I would love to see a greater variety in heroes. Partly selfish because my own team seem to perform better when it's more obscure topics but then surely that's a good thing to break up the status quo at the top of the ranks every so often. Oh and yes I agree that the term recent or very recent is very much relative isn't it!
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#1153393 - Sat Dec 10 2016 10:49 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Forum Champion
Registered: Wed Feb 03 2010
Posts: 6516
Loc: Florida USA
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If your team submits by strategy, you've done your best not to insure correct reply arrangements but decreased the odds of submitting error filled replies (eating the dragon by the tail end first not going to the head first). If you submit abababcababab and your teammate submits abababcababab (the same) and all the answers are wrong, you increase your % correct probability if that second set was abababcababad instead. And, since we don't see the same exact Qs each time a teammate plays a game, the odds are better that the arrangement of a, b, c and d repeat. Therefore, pre-arranging each teammate's answer arrangement ahead of time increases your odds of having correct answers, not much but having that one good score in 15 seconds could win the day.
Of course in non-niche categories where each teammate plays to a known correct answer, the chances of 100% correct exist. We're (I'm) talking the times when you're best odds by guessing alone is that 3.75 correct answers per game. Your team will have a better chance of getting a high % correct if all submit a different arrangement. The supposedly known quality of the Heroes game is that the Q sets are different, NOT that the answer arrangements are different. For all we know, for computer calculation simplicity, the answer sets may all be the same, just the questions different but of the same difficulty.
But it has been expressed that this is a topic thread about category variation, not answer set variations.
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#1153437 - Sun Dec 11 2016 08:28 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Multiloquent
Registered: Tue Jul 04 2006
Posts: 3613
Loc: Lawrenceville Georgia�USA�...
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The supposedly known quality of the Heroes game is that the Q sets are different, NOT that the answer arrangements are different. For all we know, for computer calculation simplicity, the answer sets may all be the same, just the questions different but of the same difficulty. No one has said anything about the arrangement of the answers. And I doubt the assumption that computer calculation simplicity would depend on a template of questions and answers in the same abcd order (even when the questions are different). It seems strange to even speculate about that. That also assumes that teams would have to coordinate a way of answering based on a slim possibility of this type of thing being in place (and again, there is no indication that it is). It is also counterintuitive to think that players would prefer to play a blind sequence of answers in the interest of speed with no consideration of the players' own knowledge might not contradict the predetermined sequencing. Frankly, this whole train of thought seems strange to me. Some people play fast because they are fast readers and players. Some people have played many games here and have become familiar with some of the questions and can answer faster that way. I seriously doubt that there are teams strategizing on how to answer in patterned responses to game the system somehow when this has not even been shown to be how the answers are put together. But it has been expressed that this is a topic thread about category variation, not answer set variations. And then there's this. Yes, the discussion is about why certain topics do or don't come up. I would love to see more topics, even ones that my small team knows next to nothing about. We laugh afterwards at how poorly we do, but it is probably someone's area to shine, and why not let them? Sue
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#1153452 - Mon Dec 12 2016 04:12 AM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Mainstay
Registered: Fri Sep 01 2006
Posts: 711
Loc: Florida USA
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But each question stands alone. It doesn't matter to Q 13 what the arrangement was in Q 3. The result is determined by ADDING the possibilities for each individual Question (4^3 = 64 possible arrangements for each question). So, it's 64(1) + 64(2)... + 64(n) = 64 x 15(n) = 1024 possible combinations. The solution should be the number of Questions raised to the possibility level (4 in this case). giving the permutations of 15 questions with only 4 possible answers is 15^4 = 50625 arrangements (NOT 4^15th!)
This Statistics is tough. That's probably why it's left up to liars who figure.
50,625 answer set possibilities in a 15 question, 4 multiple choice answers picking one of the 4 possibilities.
Just going with the 50,625 answer set possibilities forecloses any advantage of a team trying your strategy because the largest team only has 300 active members, meaning they could only cover 6/10ths of a percent of the possibilities, and that's if they ALL played, which of course they don't. But what you're missing is that there won't be just one arrangement of the answer sets, each set will also have a random pattern of answers, so having 50,625 people play all the variations still wouldn't guarantee that anyone would get all of the answers right. The odds would be high, but they wouldn't be 1:1.
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#1153472 - Mon Dec 12 2016 02:30 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Forum Champion
Registered: Wed Feb 03 2010
Posts: 6516
Loc: Florida USA
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Please see the "Heroic Strategies" thread.
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If you aren't seeing Heaven while you dream, you're doing something wrong. Dreams allow escape from the passage of Time. The ultimate activity is the Dream.
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#1154554 - Tue Dec 27 2016 03:43 AM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Enthusiast
Registered: Sun Dec 28 2014
Posts: 402
Loc: Illinois USA
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Yes, that's what I thought. While I'm no programming expert, I think a few extra lines of code could be added so the selection process doesn't give "equal chances" to all topics but rather downweights the recently used topics, and likewise upweights the ones that have cobwebs.
When you buy a challenge and the system chooses an Epic, it's specifically NOT coded to factor in recently drawn colors—you could draw the same flag ten times in a row—it doesn't "remember" Epics, so all eight flags always all have equal chances of being drawn. But that's deliberate, to make "Totally Epic" that much more challenging. By contrast, the Hero Game ideally should be "biased." With hundreds of topics in the list, it gets dull to see a topic reappear after a fairly recent play. By the same token, our team [among others, I'm sure] is seeing topics that haven't been used in so long, our team didn't even exist last time the topic was played!
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#1154599 - Tue Dec 27 2016 08:31 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Prolific
Registered: Tue May 01 2012
Posts: 1750
Loc: New York USA
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Rather than adding categories like Sports / Video Games etc, I would exclude them and more e.g. LOTR, Harry Bloody Potter, all modern dystopian / vampire authors etc. I regard all of these as niche. I have to agree with you on that one!
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#1154605 - Tue Dec 27 2016 11:11 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Forum Champion
Registered: Mon Mar 07 2005
Posts: 8760
Loc: Toronto, Canada, eh!
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Rather than adding categories like Sports / Video Games etc, I would exclude them and more e.g. LOTR, Harry Bloody Potter, all modern dystopian / vampire authors etc. I regard all of these as niche. I have to agree with you on that one! The thing is, and we've discussed this at great length in the past in regards to other subcategories, is that people will always have their least favourite niches out there. We had tons who tried to get Languages out of the games. We've had people try to pull Pro Wrestling out. If we pull out all the sections people find to be niche or 'not the definition of trivia' (as some have argued) then we're not really left with much of anything. Terry drew the line with VG and Sports a long time ago, and I think pulling out even more would only continue to go against the goal of including as many people as possible. Fun is subjective. We all want what we want. We don't want to create exclusions though. There's no fun in that.
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#1154798 - Thu Dec 29 2016 11:16 PM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Mainstay
Registered: Thu Jan 15 2009
Posts: 680
Loc: New York USA
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I guess I will just say again that while for some Harry Potter may be "niche", for many others the multiple Bible questions and Christian-related topics (of which there are many) are the same. One man's niche is another's comfort. While I went to Catholic school for years, I would far prefer a Harry Potter quiz. I know far more about musicals than I ever will about invertebrates, WWII planes or transport.
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#1155079 - Mon Jan 02 2017 10:23 AM
Re: Team heroes categories
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Moderator
Registered: Thu Nov 20 2008
Posts: 1313
Loc: New York City USA
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Will you also be looking at why the team records that show each day at the top of the Heroes page always shows our small team size records ignoring our records since becoming a medium size team? It would be nice if what was displayed there was accurate. I have mentioned this several times. Today's is a bad example because we obviously never played the topic as a small team so it does actually show the correct info. A similar thing happened with the Regal Beagles. We had a team record of 1447 in Thematic Names as a Medium team, but last week, as a Small team, a new record was achieved, of 1454. The new record did not show up in the record book, nor is it showing today, at the top of the page (back to Medium team status). We are still the same team, and the top score should still be the top score, whatever the team size.
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