I think we tend to ignore events in Africa in this Forum. For instance, the violence in Nigeria surrounding the Miss World pageant--in which over 200 people were killed--and which caused the pageant to be moved to London--was not mentioned here either.
http://www.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/africa/11/27/nigeria.fatwa/index.htmlThere are fierce religious conflicts between Christians and Muslims going on in Africa. In 2000 several thousand people were killed were killed in clashes and demonstrations. The recent Miss World situation again touched off religious conflicts.
This sort of atmosphere is conducive to promoting terrorist activity of all sorts. I think that if we ignore what is happening in Africa we are making a big mistake. It will wind up affecting everyone. It has already directly affected the U.S. with the bombing of our embassies. I think we have to be aware that Al Qaeda and other Muslim extremist groups are quite active in Africa.
The attacks in Kenya may signal a new move by Al Qaeda to directly target Israel and Israeli interests. Apparently a major strike against Israel was planned for last year, but was averted by intelligence information. Some believe that the 9/11 attack on the U.S. occurred because the Israeli plan had been foiled and the U.S. was a secondary option. If we go to war in Iraq I think we will see more such attempts to directly strike at Israel.
Apparently the use of these shoulder missiles--such as the one fired at the plane in Kenya--may be Al Qaeda's next weapon of choice. That's truly frightening. These weapons are inexpensive--they cost only about $1000--and there is no way of protecting planes from such attacks. Virtually every airport in the world could be very vulnerable to such attacks since single terrorists can easily hide on the ground surrounding an airport. Planes gain altitude slowly and, during takeoffs, it is fairly easy to strike a plane with such a missile. Everyone on board the plane would be killed. The missile fired in Kenya came within a foot or so of the plane--it was a very narrow miss.
The prospects are very frightening.