Duncan-Smith faces confidence vote (bbc.co.uk) Any views? As someone who is essentially non-partisan, immensely dis-satisfied with Labour, probably qualifies as "middle class" and is under 30 (a constituency to which I believe most parties would be looking to appeal), I would have to say that IDS makes no appeal to me whatsoever. I can see why traditional Tory Party members would vote for him: the military career, conventional family background, etc, but could never see him gaining the support of people who fall outside of this rather narrow band and I believe that the majority of the parliamentary Conservative party can see that. In short, I'm of the opinion that he'll go.
Whither the replacement? Well, I hardly think that the arch right-winger Michael Howard would fare much better in the voter popularity stakes, whilst David Davies would appear to suffer from "who's he" syndrome. Ancram seems to be a Bunteresque, Old Etonian figure, the like of which is irrelevant outside of the old boys network that is the City of London. Portillo, well possibly although I doubt he'd stand given what happened last time and the basically homophobic attitude of a large part of the Tory Party membership: addtionally, for me he's still somewhat haunted by the ghost of the strident Thatcherite he once was. The only Conservative politician who could possibly hope to win my vote would be Ken Clarke - a realist on Europe and in other matters possibly to the left of Blair - unlikely to sit well with the scions of the Tory Constituency Associations though!