I haven't seen Amelie, but I've heard that it is good.
It's already won the Golden Globe for best foreign.
So, I'm assuming a shoe in for the Oscar.
Picture is always tough.
It depends on how the Academy votes.
These films aren't judged by a panel or anything.
They are sent out to the entire Academy membership along with ballots.
The nominations are soon. I can't remember if it's this Wed or next Wed. I've only seen LOTR.
Haven't seen any of the others likely to be nominated.
Fantasy/Sci-Fi epics do not do well in the Best Picture Category, only in the technical side. I think that Beautiful Mind will be the favorite.
In The Bedroom and Mulholland Drive will certainly be the dark horses in the category. also consider Gosford Park, Excellent movie! and perhaps Moulin Rouge and Bridget Jones's Diary.
I believe that Shrek will win the animated category.
Nothing can compete with it.
Drama Actress - Halle Berry, Judi Dench, Nicole Kidman and Sissy Spacel figure prominently here...tough call on the win.
Drama Actor - Russell Crowe, Will Smith, Kevin Spacey, Billy Bob Thornton and Denzel Washington figure to be nominated. tough call on the win.
too much stuff...I have better things to do.
bye for now