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Subject: Kentucky Derby 2018

Posted by: daver852
Date: May 01 18

Any thoughts? I'm not keen on Mendelssohn. Lots of speed in the race, so a closer might take it.

4 replies. On page 1 of 1 pages. 1
daver852 star


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I know that you have all been anxiously awaiting my Kentucky Derby selections.
This year's race is very challenging, because it is an exceptionally strong field, with many horses having a chance to win. But since you can't bet them all, here are my top four selections.

1. Justify. Forget the "Curse of Apollo" nonsense. Clearly the best horse, and if he avoids trouble, should romp home.

2. Audible. Justify's main competition. Very sharp now.

3. Vino Rosso. Pedigree says he should get a mile and a quarter with no problem. Record and speed figures are not outstanding, but was very game in winning the Wood Memorial. In addition, his jockey, John Velasquez, who has won the Derby twice, chose Vino Rosso over three other horses.

4. Bolt d'Oro. Chased Justify last time out. Speedy sort is winless this year, but could pop at a price.

Others with a chance: Magnum Moon, Good Magic.

Horses I do not like:

Mendelssohn. Eye-popping victory in the $2 million UAE Derby, winning by 18 lengths, should be second favorite. Things I do not like about this one include the fact that no Dubai winners have ever won the Derby; long flight, quarantine, and lack of track preparation will take its toll; and he is a late May foal, meaning he is not as mature as his rivals. Will either win the race or be nowhere, and I think the latter outcome is most probable.

Hofburg. Lots of hype about his chances. Took two tries to break his maiden, and was soundly beaten in his only other race. He may beat me, but not for my money.

There you are. Now go out and bet the race and get rich.

Reply #1. May 04 18, 9:35 AM
daver852 star


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Rain! Back to the drawing board.

Reply #2. May 05 18, 1:52 PM
daver852 star


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My prediction for the Preakness: Justify, Good Magic, Lone Sailor, and Bravazo (in that order). Another sloppy track.

Reply #3. May 19 18, 9:57 AM
mpkitty star


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Hi Dave, sorry I didn't see his earlier; we could have had some great discussion. Now I can only report that I backed Justify in all three races, and went to the Casino for all of them and bet Justify to win, as did my daughter. Of course we didnt win much, he was such a favorite. Great year for racing!

Reply #4. Jun 27 18, 7:52 AM


4 replies. On page 1 of 1 pages. 1
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